Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.622725 1.855621 2.110406 2.409881 2.752350 3.131895 3.584646
2024-12-22 1.262527 1.576143 1.950362 2.430084 3.029309 3.753935 4.698149
2024-12-29 1.065043 1.412010 1.851420 2.449311 3.242897 4.261974 5.673356
2025-01-05 0.901959 1.256086 1.726950 2.399717 3.338294 4.604493 6.448318
2025-01-12 0.776454 1.128348 1.616399 2.343903 3.403681 4.895955 7.165872
2025-01-19 0.671717 1.013976 1.506886 2.270006 3.425511 5.116188 7.790464
2025-01-26 0.643301 1.005756 1.546216 2.412763 3.772646 5.834208 9.215409
2025-02-02 0.618106 0.998288 1.583738 2.553396 4.126438 6.591001 10.771569
2025-02-09 0.587420 0.977956 1.597707 2.655807 4.426429 7.287365 12.295738
2025-02-16 0.548192 0.939020 1.577000 2.697738 4.628713 7.840523 13.632591
2025-02-23 0.497261 0.874936 1.508061 2.650582 4.674012 8.132929 14.547994
2025-03-02 0.457071 0.825064 1.457810 2.629340 4.759409 8.497045 15.617443
2025-03-09 0.425801 0.788684 1.428796 2.645041 4.915826 9.006860 17.014456
2025-03-16 0.396969 0.753949 1.399508 2.657411 5.067432 9.522369 18.475687
2025-03-23 0.372429 0.724590 1.376838 2.678969 5.236506 10.082562 20.072985
2025-03-30 0.340644 0.678184 1.317796 2.624649 5.253227 10.353240 21.126651
2025-04-06 0.311373 0.633821 1.258443 2.563548 5.249566 10.581581 22.113590
2025-04-13 0.282864 0.588247 1.192516 2.482654 5.197375 10.706725 22.896721
2025-04-20 0.282001 0.599164 1.240243 2.638932 5.648223 11.892235 26.027249
2025-04-27 0.280426 0.608361 1.285064 2.792893 6.107907 13.136202 29.404826
2025-05-04 0.274608 0.607873 1.309483 2.905016 6.487117 14.242073 32.584543
2025-05-11 0.263155 0.593974 1.304034 2.950923 6.723974 15.059102 35.190110
2025-05-18 0.244455 0.562194 1.256979 2.899295 6.735939 15.378116 36.675179